Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 56.786335 64.806802 73.042887 82.097910 91.740376 101.670625 112.639598
2026-01-04 45.411236 56.941123 69.351671 83.559691 99.242116 115.903849 134.829071
2026-01-11 37.552082 50.817753 65.631503 83.101994 102.872950 124.318269 149.115027
2026-01-18 31.529674 45.908659 62.524361 82.640986 105.893508 131.547091 161.633997
2026-01-25 27.222194 42.456671 60.618293 83.114369 109.583478 139.193241 174.315644
2026-02-01 23.099107 38.754978 58.028768 82.446641 111.669030 144.783701 184.472366
2026-02-08 19.889057 35.862056 56.141038 82.369135 114.235862 150.755031 194.913102
2026-02-15 16.782225 32.763669 53.732486 81.433651 115.600239 155.186064 203.460250
2026-02-22 14.897647 31.154122 53.081118 82.547240 119.322549 162.291886 215.031319
2026-03-01 13.369585 29.891389 52.766075 83.989249 123.370853 169.728258 226.946269
2026-03-08 11.209864 27.428429 50.663131 83.006436 124.333060 173.418368 234.410857
2026-03-15 9.117405 24.796013 48.137712 81.323784 124.306893 175.832969 240.295675
2026-03-22 8.631240 24.799122 49.339236 84.588722 130.539971 185.862969 255.295079
2026-03-29 7.764659 24.040978 49.387340 86.279739 134.768613 193.465426 267.423396
2026-04-05 6.456157 22.297821 47.874579 85.776791 136.139118 197.541124 275.306538
2026-04-12 5.322305 20.692660 46.453688 85.314342 137.498410 201.557152 283.082763
2026-04-19 4.519893 19.611240 45.755472 85.794888 140.036280 206.994699 292.548687
2026-04-26 3.607605 18.103231 44.283380 85.115556 141.007789 210.456494 299.599584
2026-05-03 2.917940 16.938551 43.276643 85.036635 142.724937 214.814873 307.715157
2026-05-10 2.204784 15.500835 41.714185 84.084513 143.232933 217.624914 313.917977
2026-05-17 1.855240 14.947443 41.602252 85.217905 146.504951 223.893952 324.339338
2026-05-24 1.584611 14.550067 41.729298 86.685383 150.215743 230.712393 335.434903
2026-05-31 1.110138 13.284185 40.236321 85.685233 150.555850 233.241090 341.244547